Laying on SP drifters in handicap races
This trigger example was requested by our customer and first discussed in this forum topic. One of users on the forum suggested to add a condition that prevents a bet if there is a big gap between the back and lay price, which I think is reasonable. The condition has been added to the trigger file, and it stipulates that the back price of the runner should not be below 10 ticks less than the lay price.
What he was looking for is:
- Lay on any selection whose price has doubled as compared to the price it had at the beginning of the race (SP, starting price)
- Only lay in handicap markets, no sooner than 30 sec after the off
There may be a lot of doubts as to the safety and efficiency of this strategy, but it is well worth trying.
Below is the list of constants you can use to adjust the trigger settings:
|bet_size||10||Amount to lay|
|mins_since_off||0.5||When to place the bets, minutes since the off|
|market_pattern1||Hcap||Market name pattern 1 (you can add more)|
|increase||100||How much should the price increase compared to actual SP, %|
|max_price||100||Maximum price to lay at|
|max_gap||10||Maximum gap between the back and lay price, ticks|
|min_rank||2||Minimum rank of selection to lay on|
|max_rank||10||Maximum rank of selection to lay on|
How it works
On the day of testing this trigger I did not lose any bet, which can be considered a good sign, but please DO read the following remarks:
- Sometimes I had to lay at a quite high price, for example at 90. This involves substantial risks of losing 89 times more than you lay!
- You need a big bank to pursue this strategy. In this example I started from a virtual bank of £1000, and at the end of the day I won only £22.80
- The bets can be placed only in handicap markets, which limits the number of attempts to recover your losses
- You can add one of our staking plans to this trigger.
Here is a screenshot of the account statement taken at the end of the trading session. The outcome of each event was downloaded from BetFair, so what you see is the realistic results that you may get from this, still very risky, strategy.